Thursday Evening...

I am in the forecast seat for the Triad market this evening, so that is where all my my forecasting energy has been spent.

A Freezing Rain Advisory will go into effect at 9pm for the northwest Piedmont, including Surry and Stokes counties. Ice Storm Warnings have been hoisted up in the mountains.



A well-defined wedge is now in place, and our airmass remains very dry. Much drier than most modeling is picking up on, by the way.

Rain will settle in tonight, and from the Triad on through the northwest Piedmont, there could be a period of freezing rain. For the Triad itself, I expect any freezing rain to be brief, and warm temperatures aloft should make it quite difficult for any ice to accumulate. Up toward Stokes and Surry counties, ice could accumulate, mainly on elevated surfaces late tonight. Even there, temperatures will likely kick above freezing tomorrow morning.

The main potential problem is some slick travel conditions in the northwest Piedmont during the overnight hours tonight.

This still looks like a nice, soaking rain with total rain amounts between 0.75" and 1.5"

A few storms might occur tomorrow morning, but it looks like the best chance of that occurring will be off to the east of the Charlotte and Triad regions.