Thursday Evening Post

I am amazed watching the big storm system wrap up over the Lower Mississippi Valley. I simply love the weather, and watching a storm system like that take shape is a thing of beauty to me.

Tremendous snow totals are going to occur with this storm system. I think a strip os 12-20" snows will occur from eastern Oklahoma up through Illinois. Blizzard conditions will likely develop in the areas seeing the heavy snows, and travel will become impossible in those areas.

Around here, we are closely watching the potential for some severe weather as the cold front races through here tomorrow. It appears the window of opportunity for severe weather will be from about 7am until 2pm tomorrow. Damaging winds will be the primary severe weather threat.

There will not be much instability for this system to work with, but the dynamics are impressive. We all remember what happened with out last system that rolled through similar to this, so we will monitor it closely.

I think it is almost time to give up on our coastal system Sunday into Monday. It just looks fairly doubtful right now that the low will track close enough to the coast to give us precip. However, it is still close, and I will not completely write if off yet.

Our next storm system looks to roll in around next Thursday. It seems the GFS has indicated this storm system rolling through on a majority of its runs over the past couple of days, and the 0z European model jumped on board as well. I think chances are we will indeed see a system roll through during that time-period, but any specifics are impossible to forecast right now. However, I do think it holds some interesting possibilities around here, so stay tuned....