Wet weekend weather....

>> Friday, February 03, 2012

What a snowstorm out in the Rockies spilling into the Plains! Denver will wind up with 12-18" before the snow ends. This is a storm system you would more typically see in March or April as opposed to early February, complete with those heavy snows on the northwest side of the low and severe weather in the warm sector.

For our region, after a dry day today (with cooler high temps than yesterday), we will see the rain develop in tomorrow. The rain could arrive as early as tomorrow morning for the mountains, foothills, and I-85 corridor with the rain marching eastward through the day. Highs tomorrow will be chilly....struggling to make it into the lower 50s in spots where the rain arrives early.

I will maintain some shower chances into Sunday as a front drops south through the area.

It is interesting to note that the 0z Canadian model today phased two pieces of upper level energy and developed snow into the region Sunday night into Monday morning. But as of the 0z model cycle, it is on its own with that solution, and it appears unlikely. Interesting to note nonetheless.

The GFS is still hanging on to the Gulf of Mexico low pressure idea it has had for days and days. It bring the low from the Gulf to off of the Carolina coast late next work week. The Euro is far more suppressed with the system, as is the Canadian.

Even on the GFS solution, the cold air retreats prior to the precip arriving, so at this point, I don't think there is anything to get excited about for snow fans.

Longer range...

The European model collapses the western North American ridge later in the run, as does the GFS to some extent. The GFS then redevelops the ridge mid-month.

On the Atlantic side, there are some hints of ridging up into Greenland toward mid-month on both the operational GFS and Euro, but nothing concrete yet. This has been the missing ingredient for winter weather fans in the eastern US this winter. I am not sold on its development yet though.


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