Danny to swing east of the coast....much cooler weather on the way....

>> Friday, August 28, 2009

In today's video, I take a detailed look at the tropics....both Danny and our next potential system out in the Atlantic. Also, much cooler weather is on the way for the Carolinas....see the video.



Today's weather is much different than what we have been seeing lately. We will continue to see lots of clouds with the continued chance of showers and embedded storms today and tonight. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s today with upper 60s tonight.

For the weekend, we will continue to mention the chance of a few pop-up showers or storms, especially during the afternoon hours. Highs tomorrow look to be in the upper 80s with mid 80s Sunday.

Significantly cooler air will settle in here by Monday. This is Canadian-origin air, and it looks like we will have a cold air damming scenario play out Monday and Tuesday. That will likely mean much cooler conditions with some rain at times. On one or both days, highs might not make it to 70 degrees in spots!

Danny: Danny is really struggling this morning and is a weak tropical storm. It still looks like the center will pass just east of the Outer Banks late tonight. Some rainy, squally weather is certainly possible for the Outer Banks, but at this point, it looks like this will rank pretty low in significance on the list of tropical systems we have encountered.

We are watching another tropical wave way out in the Atlantic...that stands a good chance of becoming our next tropical system over the next couple of days.

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Eyes on Danny....

>> Thursday, August 27, 2009

Lots of Danny talk in today's video. I also look at the weekend weather and the potential for some Fall-like air next week....



We continue to track Tropical Storm Danny as it moves northwestward. Meanwhile, one more hot day today with highs in the lower 90s. However, things are set to change.

Moisture is pooling off to our southwest today, and as soon as tonight some shower chances arrive. Tomorrow we will see some showers and storms around the region with highs backing down into the low to mid 80s with lots of clouds.

A few storms are possible Saturday with better chances again on Sunday with the approach of a cold front.

Behind that front, I am still forecasting cooler, drier air to settle in for next work week. It still looks like some upper 50s for lows and some upper 70s for highs with a good deal of sun. However, not all modeling is in agreement with that scenario....but I am sticking to my guns as of now.

Danny: Danny's winds increased a bit overnight, however the system is still very disorganized in structure. As long as that remains the case, no explosive strengthening will take place. However, Danny could slowly strengthen to hurricane status over the next 36 hours.

The track guidance is pretty unanimous ins keeping the center of Danny just east of the Outer Banks. That could change, but the models are in pretty good agreement at this point.

If you are heading to the Outer Banks, some rainy, breezy, squally conditions are possible later tomorrow through Saturday morning. You need to keep up to date with the latest info on Danny as well. Surf and rip currents will also be increased.

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Danny is born.....

>> Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Lots of tropical talk in today's video....give it a look today. Also, a taste of Fall looks likely early next work week....



We will have some fairly hot weather today and tomorrow with lots of lower 90s for highs. Rain chances will likely remain confined to the coastal plain as well.

A cold front will drop in and bring a better chance of some showers and storms by later tomorrow night and especially Friday. And the chance of some showers and storms will be with us at times over the weekend.

A push of Autumn-like air will settle in here early next work week, and we could very well see some upper 70s for highs and 50s for lows by Tuesday and Wednesday! Up in the mountains, some 40s are possible for morning lows next week!

Tropics... Tropical Storm Danny has formed north of Hispaniola. Max winds are at 45mph as of the 11am advisory.

Danny looks to make a very close run with the North Carolina coast Friday night or Saturday morning. It is possible this could strengthen up to hurricane status if it gets it act together. It is not yet time to cancel any beach trips, but please keep advised with the latest on this system.

Remember, Tropical Update at :21 and :51 past every hour or News 14 Carolina.

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Warmth builds...

>> Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Warmth builds over the next couple of days.....better shower and storm chances to end the week....fall-like air on the way?....and a potential tropical system for the Carolinas? See the video below....



Fairly quiet and warm weather will be with us for the next few days. The chance of rain today through Thursday is pretty small. Highs today will be in the mid to upper 80s, with lower 90s on tap tomorrow and Thursday.

By Thursday night and Friday, our next cold front will approach and bring in some pretty good chances of some showers and storms.

We are monitoring a tropical wave northeast of Puerto Rico that has some chance of becoming a tropical system. Whatever can develop out of that could make a run toward the Carolina coast by Friday or Saturday. We will watch it closely....

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Back at it....

>> Monday, August 24, 2009

My family and I had a great time last week on vacation. That alarm clock was rude this morning!

At any rate, here is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. More trouble could be brewing in the tropics....see the video for details.



We began the day with a few showers and storms around the region today. A severe thunderstorm warning was even issued for Rowan county due to some small hail. As today continues to unfold, we will have a chance of some isolated showers and storms. However, I expect them to be few and far between. Highs will be in the mid 80s.

The forecast looks mainly dry tomorrow through Thursday with highs in the upper 80s tomorrow and lower 90s Wednesday and Thursday.

Shower and storm chances return to the forecast for Friday and the weekend.

Tropics: Bill has exited the Canadian maritimes and will race across the north Atlantic Ocean.

I am getting more interested in a tropical wave east of the Caribbean islands. It looks like that has some chance at development, and whatever can come out of that would likely head in the general direction of the Carolinas later this week.

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