Quiet for a while...

>> Friday, November 16, 2007

There will not be a video this evening. I have had lots of things going on today, and time has simply not allowed me to put a new video together. I should have a new one posted sometime later in the weekend.

It was a chilly day today with highs only in the upper 40s to lower 50s here in the Piedmont. Tonight will be cold with lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

A clipper system will swing by off to our north this weekend, but it will only bring an increase in clouds to the Carolinas. We will stay dry through Wednesday, then our next cold front will bring us some rain chances Thanksgiving into Thursday night. Behind that front, we cool down for Friday and next weekend.

The European model has finally come around to the faster solution as anticipated (see the post below). So, I have pretty good confidence in the cold frontal passage right around Thanksgiving. However, I do not have much confidence in exactly what happens during the weekend following Thanksgiving.

And, let me take a second and mention that I have teamed up with SkiNC and SkiSoutheast to provide them with weather information as we roll through this ski season. Those folks do an excellent job at keeping you up to date with the latest news, notes, and ski conditions in the eastern U.S., and I am proud to be able to provide weather information for all of you ski lovers out there.


Change Back to Colder Weather...

>> Thursday, November 15, 2007

After a couple of mild weather days, we have seen a drastic turn back to colder weather here in the Carolinas. As the cold air advected in today, we had very windy conditions with wind gusts over 30mph in the Piedmont and over 50mph up in the mountains.

Upslope snows have kicked in in the mountains as expected, and those northwest facing areas near the Tennessee border could pick up 1-3" before all is said and done. Although, the snow is very dry and the wind is still blowing, so the accumulation has not been very efficient.

We will have a chilly Friday with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s in spite of lots of sunshine. It will also be rather breezy again Friday afternoon, but the wind will not be as significant as what we saw today.

I get into more details in the video, but we will get pretty mild mid-week with highs well up into the 60s...maybe even some lower 70s Wednesday afternoon. Then, my feeling is a cold front swing through late Thanksgiving or Friday, bringing us some rain followed by much chillier air the weekend following Thanksgiving.

I will note the European model continues to be much slower the the progression of the trough next week, but I do not think that solution is the right one right now. That is a classic European model error...hanging too much energy back in the Southwest.

I also want to mention how fantastic the fall foliage has been the past several days here in the Piedmont. Honestly, this is some of the best color I have seen around here in a long time. Funny how nature works...you would think the color show would not be very good with the serious drought conditions, but that is not the case at all. The color is great....just later than usual.


Wednesday Post and Video

>> Wednesday, November 14, 2007

I will paste my discussion from the News 14 Carolina website below, but a few additional notes first.

With next week being Thanksgiving week, there will obviously be a lot of folks traveling. It appears there will be a significant storm system develop over the nation's interior mid-week. The computer models are all over the place with this one, and frankly, I don't really think any of the runs I have seen this morning are handling that system correctly.

For our region, we will probably see the system affect us around Thursday or Friday with some rain and maybe some thunderstorms, then we probably turn quite chilly behind the system for the weekend after Thanksgiving. However, I reserve the right to amend those ideas...that is just the way I am leaning right now.

Below is my discussion from the News 14 Carolina site.

A sharp cold front is heading our way, and that front will usher in much cooler weather into the region tomorrow. However, ahead of that front, we are seeing some nice Wednesday weather with a partly cloudy sky and highs in the mid to upper 70s.

If you have outdoor plans this evening, the weather should be fine. However, we will see some showers and storms spreading into the area after midnight tonight ahead of that cold front. This is not a classic setup for severe weather, but one or two strong or severe storms will be possible late tonight into early Thursday. In terms of rainfall amounts, I am looking for most totals to be between 0.10" and 0.50"...but if we do have some thunderstorms involved, some spots could see some locally heavier amounts.

Thursday will be blustery and much cooler with temperatures hovering in the low to mid 50s much of the day. The showers and storms will end by mid-morning, and some clearing will kick in by afternoon. It will be breezy though with some northwesterly wind gusts in excess of 25mph possible.

Chilly and quiet weather will then settle into the Carolinas for Friday and Saturday. Highs will mainly be in the 50s with lows in the upper 20s. Up in the mountains, some upslope snow will likely kick in later tomorrow into early Friday.


Huge win....

>> Sunday, November 11, 2007

Mississippi State did in fact beat Alabama 17-12 yesterday in Starkville. The game was televised by Lincoln Financial Sports, but locally we got their coverage of the Tennessee-Arkansas game. So, I had to watch the game over the internet. But, I was screaming and yelling just the same!

What a hard-fought game by both teams. It was a classic defensive SEC battle...a type of game I really enjoy watching. And, of course, the result makes it that much more enjoyable!

Go Bulldogs!


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