Very warm today....much cooler by Mother's Day

>> Friday, May 07, 2010

We did indeed see a few isolated showers and storms late yesterday afternoon and evening, and a few of those storms prompted severe thunderstorm warnings around the Carolinas. Those storms were right ahead of a cold front which dropped into the area, and that front is now very diffuse.

For today, look for lots of sunshine with dry and warm conditions. Highs today will top out in the upper 80s to even some lower 90s in a few spots.

A strong cold front will race through the region tomorrow. That front will not have much moisture to work with, and the chance of rain in any one spots in the I-85 corridor is quite small. The chance of a band of showers and storms gets greater once along and east of I-95 tomorrow afternoon.

It will be a breezy day as cooler, drier air moves in. Winds out of the west and northwest could gust over 30mph at times...with higher gusts in the mountains.

Lows will drop into the 40s Sunday morning, and Mother's Day will overall be much cooler with lots of sun and highs in the upper 60s to near 70.

Highs will hang around the lower 70s Monday and Tuesday before it gets mugger and warmer again later next work week. The second half of next work week will likely feature some shower chances, but the timing of that remains in question.


Pic from near Mebane...

The isolated storms that formed ahead of the cold front Thursday evening were severe in some spots. Here is a photo submitted by Holly and Blake Gilliam of a hailstone from a storm in Alamance county....


Quite warm....changes ahead...

>> Thursday, May 06, 2010

Highs will surge into the upper 80s to around 90 today with lots of sunshine. A weakening cold front is approaching our area today, and as that front slips in here, a few late afternoon clouds are likely, and there remains a very limited chance of a few isolated showers or storms. However, any of that activity will be very few and far between, and I think the chance of rain in any one spot is less than 1 in 10.

Tomorrow will be very warm again with highs close to 90 and lots of sunshine.

Weather changes will take place over the Mother's Day weekend. A stronger cold front will move through Saturday, but again, moisture will be limited, so rain chances remain quite small. However, that cold front will be the leading edge to a significant cooler and drier airmass that will settle in as the weekend unfolds.

Saturday will likely be pretty breezy with highs in the 80s, and then for Mother's Day, highs will struggle to get out of the upper 60 with lots of sunshine. Lows will dip into the 40s for the first few morning of next week.

Highs will gradually warm back into the 80s as we get into the middle of next week.


Warm and dry today....

>> Wednesday, May 05, 2010

A few folks saw some fog to start this Wednesday, but sunshine and warm temps will be the rule today with highs in the mid 80s for most. Lows will settle into the low to mid 60s tonight.

A weakening cold front will drop in here late tomorrow, and I suppose I can't rule out an isolated shower or storm in a couple of spots. However, I maintain that the chance of rain tomorrow in any one spot is very small. Warmth will be the bigger weather story with highs pushing 90 degrees in many spots.

Friday looks to feature lots of sunshine and warm temperatures, and again, I think a number of locations could wind up near 90 Friday afternoon.

A big weather change will unfold this weekend. A cold front will slide through Saturday morning. That front is the leading edge to a much cooler and drier airmass that will settle in through the weekend. Saturday looks breezy, but there is only a very small chance of a shower as that front presses through.

Mother's Day looks great with lots of sunshine and highs close to 70. Lows will drop into the 40s Sunday and Monday morning.

Highs look to remain in the 70s Monday before some 80s return by the middle of next week.


Less humidity on tap today...

>> Tuesday, May 04, 2010

The rain the Piedmont saw yesterday is confined to the coastal Plain today, and that rain will continue advancing eastward and out to sea. Replacing it will be a much less muggy airmass with decreasing clouds through the day. Highs today will be in the low to mid 80s.

Lows will drop into the 50s tonight, and then we will see lots of sunshine tomorrow with highs in the mid 80s.

Thursday and Friday are looking quite warm with upper 80s on tap....even some lower 90s can't be ruled out. A weak cold front will drop in late Thursday, and there is a small chance of an isolated storm late Thursday afternoon or evening, but the rain chance looks quite small overall.

Another cold front will swing in early Saturday. With that one too, rain chances look very small. However, that front will mark a pattern transition. Much drier air will blow into the region on gusty winds Saturday, and by Mother's Day, highs might struggle to make 70 degrees with a mostly sunny sky. Lows by Sunday and Monday morning will dip into the 40s.


Rain and some storms today...

>> Monday, May 03, 2010

Tremendous flooding occurred over the weekend in parts of Mississippi, Tennessee, and portions of the Ohio Valley as a slow-moving storm system dropped copious amounts of rain in those areas. Some areas picked up 10-15" of rain....really incredible.

That system is moving into the Carolinas today. The good news for our region is that the system is moving at a faster pace than it was over the weekend.

We will see rain and some storms at times today as a cold front slowly moves through the region. Some flash flooding issues can't be ruled out, but I don't think the Carolinas will see anything like that occurred to our west over the weekend.

Some strong to severe storms are also possible, with the highest chances of that being that farther east you live in the Carolinas.

The showers will end from west to east by this evening and tonight, and a much drier airmass will arrive for tomorrow. Highs will still be warm tomorrow....well into the 80s....but it will be noticeably less humid.

Overall, the weather looks warm and pretty quiet for the rest of this week. A couple of week cold front will move around later Thursday and one around Saturday....but neither of those cold fronts look terribly impressive with now in terms of rain production.


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