Nice weather for a few days....pattern change ahead...

>> Monday, January 30, 2012

Here is today's edition of the video. Lots of info in there....give it a look.

The weather over the next few days will be fantastic with highs in the 50s today, then 60s tomorrow and Wednesday. In fact, some spots could hit 70 Wednesday afternoon.

A storm system will bring at least some shower chance around Thursday, and then the specifics of the forecast thereafter get pretty murky.


Some modeling at times over the last several days had indicated a powerful cold air damming episode unfolding this weekend with the potential for ice and snow in parts of the region. This occurred as a potent (1036mb-1040mb) high pressure built into the Northeast as an area of low pressure moved out way from the Lower Mississippi Valley.

As of the morning model runs today, while there is still some evidence of CAD, it is not as pronounced as it was yesterday, and therefore, the models are advertising a mainly rain event at the moment.

At this point, I think the best we can do is just say stay tuned. If we do get a strong high pressure to build into the Northeast, some wintry weather would be possible in some spots this weekend. Weak or no high pressure = chilly rains.


The pattern as we head deeper into February looks to feature major west coast ridging and troughing in the eastern US. I like the looks of the longer range for decent odds of getting a winter weather threat or two into the region, but as you know, things can change.


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