>> Tuesday, March 03, 2009

Couple if nice visible sat shots of our band of snow.

All right....getting back into a regular routine after all of the snow preps and work last week and this weekend. What weekend? I love the snow no doubt, but I am looking forward to some down time this upcoming weekend.

My microphone I use to produce my videos is still at home, so no new video today. I hope to have those churning again tomorrow morning.

One final note about the snow event. I posted a long response to a comment that was made in the blog post below this one involving how I thought my forecast unfolded. Give it a look if you wish. I won't rehash all of that here, but I will say that I thought overall the original forecast ideas I put out on Saturday morning turned out fairly well. The overall 3-7" forecast with isolated higher and lower amounts was pretty accurate. The only thing that was a bit off was my placement of the thin axis of heaviest snows. In my original forecast, I had that axis drawn from near the CLT area up into portions of the Triad region. Turns out it was 30-50 miles west of there, from Cleveland county up toward Surry county. I gave the warning that that band of heaviest snows could go either way by 50-100 miles from my original ideas....picking up on such a small scale feature like that is next to impossible 36 hours prior to an event.

At any rate, with good forecasts and with bad, there is no spinning of it or twisting it here. Everything is all put out there in black and white, and you can dig into the archives of my forecasts dating back to 2006 at the bottom of the right hand column. I always try to consider this blog a behind the scenes look at what goes on in the forecasting process. I sincerely thank all of you for continuing to stop by!

At any rate, as always with snow events, some people are happy and some are disappointed. But I think the guidance from me personally as well as the whole News 14 team was not too shabby.

Moving on, wow is it cold! Lows this morning were in the low to mid teens here in the Piedmont, and highs today will struggle to break the freezing mark.

I think tonight will be just as cold, if not colder than this morning. In fact, the GFS 2-meter temps continue to be extraordinarily cold (low of 1 in GSO, for example). I have not gone that low with my forecast, but I will say another night of low to mid teens, even some single digits in some spots, appears on the way.

We will begin a warming trend tomorrow that lasts through the weekend. Highs will get progressively milder each day, and it still appears some 70s are on tap this weekend.

One final word....I do not think we are at all finished with cold weather. I am working on my ideas for the rest of March, and I will say that preliminarily, I am thinking from mid-month on might trend fairly cold again. Still working on these ideas though...


Anonymous 8:31 PM  

The pattern looks favorable for Winter Weather mid to late March what do you think?

  © Blogger templates Shiny by 2008

Back to TOP