Rain pushes through today...

>> Wednesday, January 28, 2009

LOTS to talk about today...see the Carolina Weather Video above.

A wide-stretching storm system continues to really impact the eastern US today. This has indeed been a crippling ice storm from the Ozarks into the Ohio Valley. Big snows are occurring today in portion of the Great Lakes region into most of the Northeast. Continue to expect big travel delays today.

Around here, the wedge held firm overnight, and temps at 6am were in the mid 30s to lower 40s in most Piedmont locations. Drizzle and fog are the big weather stories around here this morning.
The wedge will slowly try to erode away this morning, but it might not completely scour out in the northwest Piedmont. Depending on the wedge scrouring process, highs should be from the mid 50s to lower 60s this afternoon.

We will see generally light rain this morning, and then right behind a cold front a band of showers will swing through this afternoon, ending this evening.

The sky will clear out overnight, and tomorrow looks good with lots of sun and highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

A re-enforcing shot of cold air arrives Friday, and the weekend looks sunny and cool. I can't rule out a snow flake or a sprinkle Friday afternoon, but chances look low.

I continue to be pretty interested in the Monday into Tuesday time frame next week. A lot of modeling is now on board with the general scenario of an area of low pressure forming in the Gulf and lifting up through the eastern Carolinas or just off the coast, deepening as it does so.

WAY too early for specifics, but there is certainly the chance of some snow in the western Carolinas during that period if current modeling is remotely correct.

Of course, a lot of factors are in play, and this thing could trend into an all rain event or it could wind up not phasing, meaning little precip at all. Stay tuned....


Anonymous 11:49 AM  

Keep us snow hounds posted Matt! Thanks for all your work you do. Any chance this track goes from Miller A to a Great Lakes Cutter or an Apps Runner? That kills the snow for us usually, keeps the cold too far north.

We need that LOW to stay LOW to our south, than up the coast. Here's hoping and watching the models!

Brad (I feel like I'm the only one commenting on the weather anymore. Everybody else has given up!) :)

Anonymous 12:37 PM  

Just curious as to why NOAA, TWC or any of the other local weather stations are not mentioning this winter hit possibility?? NOAA has Monday and Tuesdays high at 53, far cry from the low 30's that you all have in the 7 day forcast???

Anonymous 12:38 PM  

wow matthew this COULD be the big storm we've been waiting on for 5 years now :) hope it plays out but the chances seem to be growin with each new run

Anonymous 12:58 PM  

i see the new run of the euro seems to be more explosive with that low as well and brings the low even closer to the piedmont

Matthew East 1:56 PM  

Yeah, Apps runner is definitely on the table...in fact, that is what the models are trending toward today.

Trend is not our friend today guys....not liking the looks of things.

Burgertime 2:30 PM  

LOL the guys on the EastWX forum are going bonkers with the bittercasts!

Anonymous 3:49 PM  

Do me a favor and take that GFS model...and throw it right in the trash where it belongs. It's terrible. It always leans south and east and then trends north and west.

Why can't we get a low to our south Matt?


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