Sunday Evening Full Post...

>> Sunday, June 18, 2006

As I mentioned over on the News 14 Carolina main weather site, we had some high clouds stream overhead earlier in the day today, and primarily due to that, most highs only reached the mid 80s, as opposed to the upper 80s I forecasted last night.

There are lots of storms popping off to our west from parts of the Ohio Valley back into the Lower Mississippi Valley, but we have another dry night on tap tonight with low to mid 60s for lows.

Clouds will increase by later Monday as a weakening frontal boundary approaches from the northwest. Some computer model data indicates western parts of the area, say Cleveland and Gaston counties, could see a shower or storm Monday afternoon. The best chances for a few showers and storms will be Monday evening.

I think the big weather story around our region this week will be the building heat. I have 93 for a high in Charlotte Wednesday and Thursday, but some spots could certainly be warmer than that if all pans out as it looks like it will right now. Below is the 850mb chart for Wednesday evening off of the 12z GFS run. The warmer the temps are at 850mb, in general the warmer temps are on the ground. And when you start seeing 850mb temps up around 20 degrees Celcius around here, it should really feel like summer.

It looks like a trough could set up off to our north by next weekend. If that does indeed take place, we could find ourselves in a pattern featuring numerous showers and storms, especially in the afternoon and evening. Below is the surface map for Saturday evening off of the 12z GFS.

The tropics are very quiet. There are no organized tropical waves out there, so no development is expected. I took a quick scan of the tropical computer models, and I see no signs of development occurring in the near future. However, most models are indicating some lowering pressures overall in the Caribbean Sea later next week, so that might be the next area to watch for signs of development down the road a bit.

In the middle of my live block right now. A little later this evening I will tell you about some vehicle troubles I have had....


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