Still in the deep freeze...

>> Thursday, January 13, 2011

Here is today's edition of the video. I take a look at what's ahead as we go through the remainder of January.



Check out this shot from Charlie's Beech cam up in Beech Mountain, NC. Looks like something from the arctic tundra...




Cold air remains in place for the next couple of days. Piedmont highs will be in the 30s today with upper 30s to around 40 tomorrow. Tonight should be the coldest night of this cold blast for most....lots of teens in the Piedmont.

Milder conditions will return for the weekend with 40s for highs Saturday and Sunday...maybe even a few folks clipping 50 Sunday.

Our next system will roll in by later Monday into Tuesday. I think the GFS is likely lost once again (losing the southern stream feature), and a solution more similar to the Euro and Canadian is the way to go. If that is the case, there will likely be some fairly healthy cold air damming as the system arrives (even though the parent NE high is not particularly strong), so I suppose at least a brief bit of wintry precip is possible in the favored CAD areas as the precip initially moves in.

But aside from the higher elevations, I am still leaning toward a mainly liquid system. But we will keep an eye on the CAD.

Overall, most indicators continue to point toward more cold air as January unfolds. I see no sign of any prolonged above average temps anytime soon.

4 comments:

Anonymous 6:09 AM  

Thanks for the update may Matt! what are your thoughts on the euro for late next week? appears to look cold and possible storm? do you see any warming in February or does it appear to star out cold too?

Anonymous 8:01 AM  

Hey Matthew, as much as I dislike the cold and as you said it looks to hang around for awhile I think us warm weather lovers just need to hang in there till at least mid Feb or so because climatology wise, mid Feb we should start getting into the low to mid 50s for highs although I know Mar and Apr can bring some cold but this cold weather cant last forever lol.
-Nic

Matthew East 8:25 AM  

Yeah, it is best right now to kind of blend out a lot of the details later on next week. I don't know that any one model has a great handle yet, but I would lean toward the colder scenario.

I don't have any good feel for when extended above average temps might return.....January looking unlikely.

wgbjr 9:21 AM  

Thanks Matthew! Informative video as always. NWS has freezing rain in the forecast for Concord on Monday. Given the temps on Monday, it would be short lived thankfully.

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