Winter weather chances....

>> Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Here is today's edition of the video. I encourage you to watch it...sometimes pictures are worth tons of words....



First off....wow, another bitterly cold morning. 10s everywhere and even some single digits in a few Piedmont locations. It will stay cold today with Piedmont highs in the 30s.

Next system...
Our next system will begin to arrive later tonight. Winter Weather Advisories are up from northern Mississippi and Alabama into the Ohio Valley. A Winter Storm Warning is up for eastern KY and NE TN. A Winter Storm Watch is up for much of VA down into the VA border counties of NC and up into the northwest mountains.
For the Carolinas, precip will spread into the I-85 corridor during the pre-dawn hours. This initial wave of precip will likely be some light snow and sleet for many. From south to north, and precip will kick over to a sleet and then freezing rain or rain scenario, depending on the surface temp in your back yard.
For the Charlotte region (and extreme northern SC), I can't rule out a brief dusting or a light, minor glazing early tomorrow. The precip just looks too limited for anything overly significant however. But, it is possible a few issues could drop up for the morning commute. Ground and road temps are cold, so it would only take a little freezing rain to create some issues.

For the Triad, there will likely be a period of snow and sleet that will gradually transition to some light freezing rain or rain. For the immediate I-40 corridor, I will go with a dusting to maybe 2" or snow and sleet with the possibility of a minor glazing before the precip ends.
More significant accumulations are likely up near the VA border and up into VA. For the VA border counties, I will go with 1"-3" with locally higher amounts....and again, a glazing possible on top of that.

**Hear this.....it is quite possible that the amounts will verify on the lower ends of those ranges given. Moisture is limited and the air is dry, so that will be an issue for precip to overcome.**

Here is the bottom line. This is not a huge event, but it could definitely play a role in the morning commute tomorrow, especially the farther north you go. So get up early, check the road and weather conditions, and of course, we will be like with updated information here on News 14 Carolina.

Here is the map I am using on air this morning....

Saturday/Saturday night...

The trend in the modeling over the past couple of cycles has been toward a weaker, less amplified system. With that said, there is still the potential for some snow in parts of the region. I will continue to take a closer look at this one as we near the weekend.

6 comments:

Anonymous 9:22 AM  

For the weekened system, it is not that uncommon for models to pull away from the snowy wallop. There is still time for things to change.

Ryan1234

DoubleJ 11:45 AM  

Charlotte can't seem to catch a break. I'm almost glad January and February will see warmer and drier conditions.

Anonymous 12:36 PM  

Its really pissing me of. Its just ridicolus.

Anonymous 12:39 PM  

I meant off**

DoubleJ 1:34 PM  

I'm just going to take the position of not getting my hopes up, and then if for whatever reason, Ma Nature doesn't change things and actually gives us a good dump of snow, and I'm not really talking about these upcoming systems, at that point I will be surprised. Thanks Matthew for working so hard on this though, you do good work.

Anonymous 1:44 PM  

Grrrrrrrr

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