12z Euro thoughts...

>> Thursday, March 31, 2011

Just a quick note from the 12z Euro valid next Tuesday...this system will likely wind up being a widespread severe weather producer....and that threat could very well extend up a good portion of the eastern seaboard. Check out the energy in the base of the trough swinging into the region. The Euro also develops a little meso-low type feature that would likely enhance local helicities if

it verified.

Here is the meso-low feature....


Anonymous 9:20 PM  

This has all the makings of a major and very dangerous severe weather outbreak. You should mention that everyone should go out and invest in a Weather radio this weekend. I think we will need them. The wedge isn't going to save us this time. Have a blessed night! And thanks for all you do!

Gastonwxman 2:43 AM  

The potential of the severity and coverage of these storms reminds me of the Super Outbreak of April 3-4, 1974 which this year will mark the 37th anniversary of that event. Disturbingly, those dates are right around the time that this severe weather event is progged to occur, though I DON'T see a redux of over 130 tornadoes breaking out. I would be scared out of my wits if this happened across the Carolinas but thankfully it won't be the case this go around.

It looks as though this will be a high CAPE kind of deal with a strong low level jet and an abundance of gulf moisture flowing across the Southeast with possible pre-frontal convection and high lapse rates. We also don't seem to have a wedge or residual CAD here this time so I think this time the flow will be purely southerly and help with the instability. Lots of details to iron out but the threat is most definitely legit for widespread powerful severe weather.

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