Dry Thursday....storms again this weekend...

>> Thursday, May 20, 2010

Another significant tornado outbreak occurred yesterday evening and night in parts of Oklahoma, and the severe weather threat today shifts to an area from roughly Dallas into the Ozarks and the Lower Mississippi Valley.

For the Carolinas, this will be a dry day with a partly cloudy sky and highs in the upper 70s.

The system that has been producing all of the severe weather will continue to slowly shift eastward while gradually weakening as well. The system will be close enough that a few afternoon storms look possible late tomorrow in the mountains and possibly the foothills and western Piedmont. Highs tomorrow will warm into the lower 80s for most.

Over the weekend, the chances of at least scattered showers and storms look pretty good....especially during the afternoon and evening hours. If you have outdoor plans, be aware it will likely not be a wash out, but some showers and storms will have to be dodged from time to time.

I will maintain the chance of some scattered showers and storms in the forecast through at least Wednesday next week.

Interestingly enough, a lot of modeling is trying to develop some type of tropical system in the western Atlantic early next work week, and whatever could develop might wind up close to the Carolina coast by Tuesday or Wednesday. That might wind up enhancing the rain chances at some point next week.


Anonymous 9:35 PM  

Got a question for you regarding the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. With the hurricane season approaching, do you think the oil leak down there would have any impact with the tropical activity, esp. in the Gulf of Mexico?


Matthew East 6:07 AM  


That is an interesting question, and one to which I don't think there is a conclusive answer.

My take is that the oil would likely have the effect of weakening a tropical system slightly as it traveled over the oil slick due to less effective moisture transport into the system. But again, that is just an educated guess. And at this point, I don't think the oil streak is widespread enough for HUGE impacts.

But that is a great question...one I have been pondering myself.

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