Severe Weather Threat Today....

>> Saturday, July 29, 2006

We are indeed seeing a good amount of sunshine this morning. An upper level disturbance is approaching us from the west as well. The short-range computer models had a wide array of solutions in the handling of the disturbance last night, but things seem to be coming together a bit better now.

It looks like we will see showers and storms fire around the area as the afternoon progresses, especially from mid-afternoon on. The disturbance moving in is actually a relatively strong one, considering the time of year. Decent wind fields will be in place, and the atmosphere should be pretty moist and unstable. So, all in all, I think the probability of some severe weather occurring somewhere around our area is fairly high.

By the way, here is the disturbance I am talking about. This is the 500mb chart from the 6z run of the NAM valid at 2pm today. Notice the area near the Tennessee/North Carolina state line. That is a lobe of vorticity. In simpler terms, we just call that an upper level disturbance.

The 700mb winds are stronger today than what we have seen recently, so the storms should actually move along at a decent clip. So, hopefully flooding won't be a big issue, but we could certainly still use all of the rain we can get.

So, all in all, things seem to be pointing to some active weather this afternoon into parts of the evening hours. Stay tuned to News 14 Carolina for all of the latest weather information. Tara will hold down the fort through a good chuck of the afternoon, and I will be on the air by 4-5pm...


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