More rain spreading in today...

>> Thursday, December 22, 2011



Above is today's edition of the video....give it a look.

Our next storm system is already spreading rain in our direction. It's a very west start to the day in parts of eastern TX, southern AR, MS, and LA....and that is all due to a developing Gulf of Mexico low. That low will track into the southern Appalachians by this evening and will develop rain back into our region by this afternoon and evening.

Rain will be with us at times tonight before ending by tomorrow morning.

It will remain quite mild with highs today well into the 60s....even some low 70s possible again toward the Sandhills and coast. Lows will be in the 50s tonight.

Christmas weekend...

Christmas Eve is looking cooler with highs in the 50s, but it's also looking dry with some decent amounts of sun.

Christmas Day remains somewhat up in the air. The European model remains insistent that it will be a rainy day while some other modeling has backed off of that scenario. For the time being, I am still leaning toward the rainy scenario.

Next week will not be 'cold' relative to average, but it should not be nearly as mild as this week overall. I anticipate most of our highs to be slightly above average.

There remains the possibility of another storm system around the middle of next week.

Long term...

There are at least some faint indications of the NAO trying to head into negative territory as we head into January. If that occurs, it would mean a higher likelihood of a more sustained cold pattern in the eastern US. However, that potential NAO stitch is far from a certainty.

2 comments:

DoubleJ 12:52 PM  

Matthew, I was just wondering if you had any thought about revising the winter forecast? I just read a tweet that wx brad is going to revise his forecast because the lack of blocking?

Matthew East 5:00 PM  

Yeah, I put a note on FB and twitter earlier this week about looking at that possibility. Still thinking about making some alterations, but nothing definitive yet. Will decide by the end of the month.

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