More nice weather....

More nice October weather is on tap for the next few days. Some clouds are around the region at times today as both an upper level disturbance and a weak cold front swing through. I don't think either of these features have enough moisture to work with to produce any rain though, and highs will top out in the low to mid 70s.

We will see a sunny sky tomorrow and Wednesday with highs in the low to mid 70s. Then, a sharp cold front will swing through Thursday night. A few brief showers are possible Thursday night, and then it turns much chillier again for Friday and the weekend.

There is some uncertainty as to whether or not a piece of energy gets dumped into the Southwest as our next trough approaches. The European and Canadian models do just that, and the result is then some rain Friday night and Saturday as that piece of energy finally moves through. The GFS is cool and dry. I have left Saturday dry in my forecast package this morning, but just be aware that I might have to adjust that as the week unfolds.

Rina...

Tropical Storm Rina is in the Caribbean Sea and will meander in the direction of the Yucatan Peninsula this week. The HWRF and GFDL models really strengthen the system, and in turn, allow it to get picked up by our incoming trough, taking it to Florida. Other models keep this suppressed well south of the US. We will watch it.