Rain and Severe Weather Potential...

Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. I encourage you to give it a look....

A large area of rain and storms has been moving through the Deep South and Gulf coast this morning. Severe weather has been a problem on the south side of this area, and several tornado warnings were issued in Louisiana, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle.

That big area of rain will move into the Carolinas today. This looks like a nice soaking rain that will be with us this afternoon and this evening. Some spots could easily see in excess of an inch of rain. The rain will taper off tonight.

Meanwhile, it still looks like a sizable severe weather outbreak could occur late today and tonight in portions of Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. I am especially concerned about the corridor from northern Louisiana into north and central Mississippi into central Alabama this evening and tonight.

We will see that rain and thunderstorm activity then develop into the Carolinas later tomorrow and tomorrow night. Severe weather remains a distinct possibility. Exactly how great the severe weather threat will be will depend on how several small-scale features set up tomorrow morning and afternoon. However, all modes of severe weather look possible with damaging winds, large hail, and isolated tornadoes, as well as flash flooding all remaining possibilities.

We will begin the day with a frontal boundary draped through the region, and that front will lift northward through the day tomorrow. How far north that front makes is prior to the rain and storms arriving will go a long way in determine the severe weather potential. If that front were to happen to lock in across southern North Carolina, the severe weather threat would be significantly lessened across much of the Piedmont. However, if it surges northward, severe weather will be likely. We just simply won't be able to tell how that front will respond until we get into the day tomorrow.

Dry weather returns for Sunday and Monday. However, the storm track remains active next week, and more showers look possible Tuesday night and Wednesday with more storm possible Thursday night into Friday.