Wet Wednesday....weekend storm potential...

>> Wednesday, February 18, 2009



Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. Lots of good stuff in there....give it a look today.

Some sleet did indeed mix in with the rain at times this morning, but as expected, it was not a big deal with temps above freezing.

We will have the chance of occasional showers through the afternoon and evening until a cold front sweeps through tonight. Behind the front, the sky will clear late tonight, and we will see lots of sunshine tomorrow.

Tomorrow will be a blustery day with some wind gusts to 30mph or so possible. Up in the mountains, upslope snows will kick in, and some of the favored northwest facing areas could wind up with 3-5" tomorrow and tomorrow night.

All eyes remain on the potential for a winter weather producing system this weekend. The 12z European and Canadian models from yesterday and the 0z Canadian from today came out with some wild, intense solutions that had snow lovers in the Carolinas salivating. However, most other modeling is much more tame with the system.

Right now, I think the tamer solutions are more likely to be correct. The Canadian does not have much support from its ensembles, and today's 0z Euro was back to a more docile solution.

So, for now, I think the best course of action is to leave in the chance of some light snow later Saturday (could be mixed with rain Saturday afternoon) into early Sunday and continue to monitor trends.

7 comments:

Anonymous 8:51 AM  

Matthew,

I just thought i'd let you know that i had a heavy burst of wet snow for about a hour.. I got a quick coating of snow on the grass and trees..

Matthew East 8:56 AM  

Excellent! Thanks for sharing....enjoy!

Anonymous 9:06 AM  

Well,
So much for the trend setting 12 EURO....maybe we'll get some pretty flurries Saturday afternoon. RATS, foiled again. Sniff, sniff....I smell a theme....a 5 year theme.

Brad

jtomlinweather 4:07 PM  

As of now how much accumulation do you see for Western Iredell County.

Anonymous 4:47 PM  

Matthew, with the way things have been working out in TN, MS, and AL, do you see severe weather here for the metro area?

Matthew East 5:28 PM  

I am not optimistic about accumulation potential for this weekend as of now....however, we are still 4 days away, and things could change. We will see...

I don't think our severe weather threat is very high. However, we will have to watch how quickly the layer of stable air here in the Carolinas erodes from the south this evening.

Anonymous 6:18 PM  

i did a snow dance today.i guess those things dont work anymore.right about now flurries would even be nice although i want MORE!!!

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