>> Sunday, October 08, 2006

Our viewing area is directly in the the ideal zone to see occasional rain today. We are right on the north side of a strong upper level low, and a fetch of Atlantic moisture continues to feed right into the southern Piedmont.

So, the forecast today highlights the chances for occasional rain. Bring the rain gear to the Panthers game...don't think it will rain all game, but it probably will during at least part of the game.

Improvement arrives tomorrow along with a warming trend. Highs will approach 80 Tuesday and Wednesday. But when, a huge upper air trough slides in here from the west. As the associated cold front moves through Thursday, we will see some showers and storms, and some storms could be severe. This dynamic storm system has a chance to produce a lot of tornadoes in locations off to our west, such as the Plains, Ohio Valley, and Tennessee Valley. But even here, some storms could be strong to severe Thursday, and we will watch it closely.

The models are not in agreement with exactly how deep that trough will be over the eastern U.S. However, I feel pretty confident that we will see 30s for lows next weekend, and I think we have a strong chance of seeing our first frost of the season next weekend as well.

I will be out of town for a couple of days. We are heading up to the mountains to enjoy some of the fall foliage over the next couple of days, but I will be back here in the saddle again Wednesday. Everyone have a great Sunday!


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