Oppressive Heat

>> Wednesday, August 02, 2006

As I am typing this, most temps are up into the mid 90s around our area, and most dewpoints are sitting in the mid 70s. That is equating to heat indices approaching the 105 degree range. By all means, stay inside today if you have that option.

The heat wave is affecting much of the eastern US. Some parts of New England will have a hard time dropping below the 90 degree mark for lows tonight.

Outside of a few isolated showers and storms today, the heat is about all there it to talk about in our weaher.

Chris...
Tropical Storm Chris continues to organize, and I think Chris will become a hurricane either later today or tonight.

As for the track, most models agree that Chris should track north of Hispanola. However, differences arise after that. Some modelling takes the system into Cuba, while some modelling keeps Chris north of Cuba toward the Keys or south Florida.

The differences exist because diferent models are handling the strength of a big m0s;level ridge to the north of the system differently. The stronger the ridge, the farther south Chris gets shoved.

As of now, my thinking is such that I would guess Chris will stay a little north of Cuba and head toward the Keys or south Florida later this weekend or early in the work week. However, the Cuba option is certainly a viable one.

As for intensity, if Chris stays north of Hispanola and Cuba, I think it has a decent chance of becomine a major hurricane by the weekend.

Interesting to say the least. Keep checking back...I will post updates on my thinking as time allows....

Everyone stay cool as best you can!!

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