Rain spreads in...

Our next system is organizing in Louisiana this morning, and that low will gradually lift northeast. By later tomorrow, the low will be tracking from eastern Tennessee into West Virginia, meaning we will be on the "warm" side of the system.

For our Monday, rain will spread in with time today, and high temps are a challenge to forecast. I will generally say low to mid 60s for the Piedmont, but it is tricky.

Look for periods of rain tonight through tomorrow. As the wind fields aloft strengthen tomorrow, a few storms could become involved. Although the chance is fairly limited, a few strong to severe storms are possible, mainly tomorrow afternoon. Lows tonight will only settle to near 50 with highs tomorrow highly dependent on rain coverage....60s generally speaking.

Later this week...

The system will be gone by Wednesday with lots of sun and highs up toward the upper 60s. A push of chillier air will briefly arrive for Friday into Saturday with some spots in the 50s for highs Friday. But, a substantial warm-up looks likely by Sunday and Monday....maybe some spots hitting lower 70s again by next Monday.

Cold air?...

Plenty of very cold air will invade Canada and the northern US later this week. Through the first half of Thanksgiving week next week, the upper air pattern will keep that colder air bottled up to our north, and it looks fairly warm around our region. However, in time, the pattern should buckle over the eastern US, allowing the colder air to make it in here. The timing is still a question mark, but later Thanksgiving weekend is a possibility.

Read more...

Another fantastic weekend...

It seems essentially every weekend since late summer has been fantastic....and this one will be no different. Look for highs today to top out in the mid to upper 60s will full sunshine. A sunny sky continues for Saturday with highs in the upper 60s to around 70, and Sunday will still feature lots of sun and highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Our next system is still set to arrive by Tuesday. There is still some question as to the exact timing of the system, but overall Tuesday still looks to be the day when most of the rain occurs. With that said, I can't rule out some showers trying to creep in later Monday. Highs will remain in the 60s.

Mid-week next week looks very quiet.

Next cold shot....

It appears a pretty decent shot of cold air will move in by the end of next work week. Highs will likely return to the 50s by Friday.

Thanksgiving week....

Lots of uncertainty. Extremely cold air will arrive in Canada next week and begin to bleed into the northern US with time as we head toward next weekend. A lot of modeling keeps the coldest air bottled up a little to our north for Thanksgiving week, but I don't think that is a certainty yet. Considering the magnitude of the cold air that will move into the northern US, conventional wisdom tells me that at some point later this month, we will get into that.

Read more...

Terrific Veterans Day Weather...

First of all, a huge 'thank you' to all who served to protect our lives and liberties. We honor you and thank you for your service.

In terms of the weather, you can't draw it up much better than what we have on tap again today. Again, lots of sun is on the way with highs in the upper 60s to near 70 degrees.

We will continue to see a primarily sunny sky tomorrow through the weekend with highs in the mid to upper 60s....maybe some lower 70s in spots.

Next storm system...

It looks like the bulk of the rain from our next storm system will roll through Tuesday of next week. This will occur as a wave of low pressure rides up from the Gulf of Mexico and through our region.

Cold air later this month??

The computer models are all over the place with the possibility of a cold plunge later this month. As is often the case when we are looking at a true arctic plunge into the US in the 7-14 day range, the models are really struggling and inconsistent.

I am fully confident that some very cold air will invade the northern US later next week. Where and how quickly it moves from there is still very debatable, but I still favor the idea of colder air settling into our region around Thanksgiving week. But nothing is set in stone yet. With the degree and depth of cold air that will likely move into the northern states next week, it is almost inevitable that it will make it into our area at some juncture.

Read more...