Rainy and much cooler as we start the new work week...

>> Monday, August 31, 2009

In today's video, I talk about the rainy start to the work week, the much cooler weather for this week overall, more possible tropical trouble brewing.



It was a very wet start to the day across the Piedmont today with a swath of moderate to heavy rain swinging through. One of our Carolinas wedges has set itself up, and temperatures will likely hover in the 60s for much of the day. We will continue to have the chance of at least some light rain from time to time into this evening. Lows tonight will drop in the upper 50s.

I expect a pretty good amount of cloud cover tomorrow through Thursday, but not a whole lot of rain chances during that period. Temperatures look very pleasant with mid 70s for highs and upper 50s for lows.

Temps will warm up a bit toward the weekend, but nothing at all that looks above average.

Tropics: We are closely watching a tropical disturbance out in the Atlantic east of the Lesser Antilles. This will likely become a classified tropical system over the next 24 hours, and it could wind up east of the Bahamas by the weekend. Stay tuned...

In the eastern Pacific, Hurricane Jimena is a powerful Category 4 hurricane, and it will likely impact the Baja Peninsula as a significant hurricane later this week.

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Danny to swing east of the coast....much cooler weather on the way....

>> Friday, August 28, 2009

In today's video, I take a detailed look at the tropics....both Danny and our next potential system out in the Atlantic. Also, much cooler weather is on the way for the Carolinas....see the video.



Today's weather is much different than what we have been seeing lately. We will continue to see lots of clouds with the continued chance of showers and embedded storms today and tonight. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s today with upper 60s tonight.

For the weekend, we will continue to mention the chance of a few pop-up showers or storms, especially during the afternoon hours. Highs tomorrow look to be in the upper 80s with mid 80s Sunday.

Significantly cooler air will settle in here by Monday. This is Canadian-origin air, and it looks like we will have a cold air damming scenario play out Monday and Tuesday. That will likely mean much cooler conditions with some rain at times. On one or both days, highs might not make it to 70 degrees in spots!

Danny: Danny is really struggling this morning and is a weak tropical storm. It still looks like the center will pass just east of the Outer Banks late tonight. Some rainy, squally weather is certainly possible for the Outer Banks, but at this point, it looks like this will rank pretty low in significance on the list of tropical systems we have encountered.

We are watching another tropical wave way out in the Atlantic...that stands a good chance of becoming our next tropical system over the next couple of days.

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Eyes on Danny....

>> Thursday, August 27, 2009

Lots of Danny talk in today's video. I also look at the weekend weather and the potential for some Fall-like air next week....



We continue to track Tropical Storm Danny as it moves northwestward. Meanwhile, one more hot day today with highs in the lower 90s. However, things are set to change.

Moisture is pooling off to our southwest today, and as soon as tonight some shower chances arrive. Tomorrow we will see some showers and storms around the region with highs backing down into the low to mid 80s with lots of clouds.

A few storms are possible Saturday with better chances again on Sunday with the approach of a cold front.

Behind that front, I am still forecasting cooler, drier air to settle in for next work week. It still looks like some upper 50s for lows and some upper 70s for highs with a good deal of sun. However, not all modeling is in agreement with that scenario....but I am sticking to my guns as of now.

Danny: Danny's winds increased a bit overnight, however the system is still very disorganized in structure. As long as that remains the case, no explosive strengthening will take place. However, Danny could slowly strengthen to hurricane status over the next 36 hours.

The track guidance is pretty unanimous ins keeping the center of Danny just east of the Outer Banks. That could change, but the models are in pretty good agreement at this point.

If you are heading to the Outer Banks, some rainy, breezy, squally conditions are possible later tomorrow through Saturday morning. You need to keep up to date with the latest info on Danny as well. Surf and rip currents will also be increased.

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