3pm Update...

The pre-frontal band of showers and thunderstorms has not allowed much instability to build in the Triad or Charlotte viewing regions. A few storms went severe over northeastern Tennessee over the past couple of hours, but they have since weakened.

The cold front, and the best shear just ahead of it, will move through later this afternoon into early evening.

With instability lacking, I don't expect any huge problems with severe weather. However, there could be a couple of strong to severe storms.

Tragically, the death toll continues to rise with last night's severe weather outbreak. My prayers are with all of those affected.

Read more...

11:30am Update...

Showers and some storms, well out ahead of the cold front, have advanced into portions of the foothills. As expected, the storms have greatly weakened, as as I am typing this, no watches or warnings are in effect for the region.

The showers and storms advancing well out ahead of the front might serve to limit severe weather potential in the Charlotte and Triad region...we shall see.

However, the atmosphere is becoming more unstable with time. Generally speaking, locations east of I-85 have warmed into the low to mid 70s, and dewpoints in the lower 60s are trying to creep northward from South Carolina.

We will continue to monitor radar trends this afternoon and evening.

Read more...

Wednesday Morning...

Click above to play




All eyes are on our severe weather possibilities today. Please see this morning's video for lots of information.

With the thickness values we have in place, it will only take some peeks of sunshine to pop our temperatures up into the low 70s today. And based on the satellite images (I am doing this update prior to daybreak), I think we will see that. Dewpoints are in the 50s, and they should gradually climb today. If we can get dewpoints into the lower 60s and temperatures into the lower 70s, then severe weather will likely be a problem. The Storm Prediction Center has places all of the Carolinas in a 'slight' risk for severe weather today.

The main time-frame for this event looks to be this afternoon, possibly into early evening. Damaging winds will likely be the biggest concern, but isolated tornadoes will be possible if we do indeed see a little sun this morning. Some small hail also looks possible.

I will be on the air on News 14 Carolina this afternoon for the Charlotte and Triad regions. Have a reliable way of hearing weather watches and warnings today if you are away from the TV, and keep it tuned to News 14 Carolina for all of the very latest weather information.

Read more...