Mesoscale Discussion Issued for the Area

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0359
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  0133 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2007
 
  AREAS AFFECTED...SRN VA...NRN AND WRN NC...FAR ERN TN
 
  CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
 
  VALID 281833Z - 282030Z
 
  STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
  WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED STRONG/SVR WIND GUSTS
  MAY OCCUR AS WELL.
 
  SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK LOW OVER SRN VA AHEAD OF WEAKENING COLD
  FRONT ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS...WITH WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALSO
  EXTENDING SEWD INTO NERN NC. STRONG HEATING AND RELATIVELY COOL
  TEMPERATURES ALOFT WITH UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL ALLOW MDT INSTABILITY
  TO DEVELOP. STORMS CURRENTLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL LIKELY
  STRENGTHEN AND SHIFT SEWD WITH TIME. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS
  LIKELY ALONG THE BOUNDARY FROM SRN VA INTO NRN NC. OBSERVED AND
  FORECAST WIND PROFILES INDICATE WEAK BUT VEERING LOW LEVEL FLOW
  BENEATH MODEST 30-40 KT MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW. GIVEN THIS TYPE OF
  HODOGRAPH...MULTICELLS APPEAR LIKELY BUT A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
  SUPERCELLS...MOVING TO THE RIGHT OF THE MEAN WIND AND PRODUCING THE
  LARGEST HAIL...FROM 1.00 TO 1.50 INCH. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
  ALSO SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS ESPECIALLY AS STORM
  MOTIONS ACCELERATE LATER TODAY.

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Thunderstorms possible into this evening...

Good afternoon. I am in the evening shift for the Triad viewing area today, so most of these thoughts are geared for that region.

I expect a decent number of showers and storms to develop into the area as the late afternoon into early evening hours unfold. The parameters aloft are such that some severe criteria hail and strong winds will be possible in any storms that develop. Also, there is an outside chance for an isoalted tornado, but hail and winds are the primary threats today.

Keep it tuned to News 14 Carolina for all of the latest weather information. If severe weather breaks out, we will be right there with you to walk you through the storms.

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Beautiful....

Our string of great weather days continues today. I have already been out doing some watering in the flower bed while the kids did some playing. I am sure a lot of time will be spent outside today and tomorrow....my off days. Get out and enjoy! It doesn't get much better than this....

A quick picture I snapped this morning....

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