Shower chances returning...

>> Tuesday, September 20, 2011



A fairly gloomy forecast is on tap for much of the rest of the week with some daily shower chances through at least Friday. Highs today will be in the 70s.

A few thunderstorms will become possible tomorrow, and I will maintain the chance of some storms Thursday and Friday as a second cold front approaches the region.

The weekend forecast is less straight-forward that it looked yesterday, but for the time being, I will go with the idea of some drier air working in, giving most of us some dry weekend weather. But it really depends on how far east a cold front makes it, and when it's being driven by a huge cut-off low over the Midwest, nothing is certain. See the video for details.

Tropics...

Still watching the disturbance in the central Atlantic. This still has a good chance of becoming our next classified system.

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Quiet Monday... some rain chances coming...

>> Monday, September 19, 2011



It did indeed wind up to be very chilly around here Friday and Saturday with the wedge in play. However, it was a bit milder yesterday, and today will be milder still.

Highs this afternoon should warm into the 70s across the region under a partly to mostly cloudy sky.

A cold front is located near the Mississippi River, and that front will get close enough to the region by tomorrow to bring in some shower chances. In fact, some showers are possible in some areas as soon as later tonight.

Some showers also look possible at times Wednesday with highs in the upper 80s to lower 80s.

A big upper level trough will carve out in the nation's midsection mid-week, and that will drive another front our way Thursday and Friday. I will highlight some shower and storm chances in the forecast for Thursday and Friday.

At the moment, the upcoming weekend is looking very nice with highs in the 70s and a good bit of sun.

Tropics...

There is a tropical disturbance in the central Atlantic that continues to slowly organize. This system has a pretty good shot of becoming our next tropical system in the next couple of days.

Winter Outlook...

I am starting to get lots of questions about my thoughts on the upcoming Winter. I am beginning to work on some ideas, and as always, I will try to have my full Winter Outlook out by Halloween.

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Warmest day of the week today, but. . .

>> Wednesday, September 14, 2011



Highs will warm to around 90 or so in many spots this afternoon. However, that warmth will be a distant memory by Friday and the weekend.

The cold front will move through tomorrow, and due to the timing of the front, it could be a day where the mountains have highs in the 60s while it warms to near 90 in the Sandhills. An isolated shower or storm is possible.

A pronounced cold air damming scenario will unfold behind the front Friday through the weekend. How much rain is involved Friday and Saturday will determine exactly how chilly it is.

Some of the modeling has backed off on the amounts of rain Friday and Saturday, and that would mean it could be a little bit less chilly than mentioned yesterday. But still, I will go with highs struggling to make it into the lower 60s in many places Friday, and not a whole lot warmer Saturday. With enough rain, it is still fully possible that some areas will remain in the 50s either day.

The wedge will gradually scour out by early next week with a slow warming trend each day.

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