Saturday...

Next system is gearing up to our west today. Out ahead of it, a few mainly light showers are possible from time to time today and this evening. Most highs will be in the 60s.

The core of the system will enter the Carolinas late tonight, then traverse the area Sunday. For Charlotte and the Triad, the period of heaviest rain will likely be tomorrow morning into maybe early afternoon....the timing is later for points east.

Regarding severe potential, I can't rule out a few strong to severe storms....damaging winds will be the primary threat. Here is the RPM's output for 11am tomorrow...

In terms of total rain amounts, they still look generous. I have no compelling reason to change my wording that I have been using all week....a general 1-2" type of rain. But, of course, there will be some localized variations. Many mountain and foothills locations could wind up exceeding the 2" mark.

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Quiet today, but big system this weekend...

Here is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. I take a good look at our weekend system, and a brief look at our next system later next week.

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Thursday afternoon...

Be sure and scroll down to the post below this one for today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video....some good stuff in there.

Temp forecasts are on track as of the 1pm observations. At that time, it still looked like the Charlotte region would largely top out in the mid to upper 50s with lower 50s for the Triad. Triangle in the low to mid 50s.

Clouds will stream in tomorrow in advance of our big weekend storm system. Even at this late hour, there remains some uncertainty with a few of the details regarding the system's evolution....however, the timing remains pretty constant.

As I have been highlighting all week, I still think this is a generous rain producer...and I will continue the wording of a general 1-2" type of rain event. But depending on the system's specifics, some spots around the region could do better than that.

Rain could begin later Saturday, but I believe the period of heaviest rain will still be Saturday night into Sunday.

Regarding severe weather, I don't think this has the look of a big outbreak....instability will be lacking. However, lots of dynamics will be in play, and we will need to keep an eye on it.

After that system, the next one is due in here toward the end of next work week.

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