Friday afternoon...

>> Friday, February 25, 2011

It is quite breezy out there this afternoon. Sustained winds across much of the Piedmont are in the 15-30mph range with gusts to 30-40mph. Winds are even higher in the mountains with gusts over 60mph at times.

The band of rain overperformed a bit when you got up around the Triad to the VA border region. The Triad itself received about a half inch, but some spots a little north of there got closer to an inch.

In the southern Piedmont and much of the Triangle region, click here, then come back for the rest of the discussion.

Amounts were generally less than a tenth of an inch. Not what we needed, and nothing to even put a small chink in the drought's armor.

The weekend looks quiet with sunshine tomorrow and clouds rolling in Sunday.

The next system arrives later Monday and Monday evening. Another round of showers, and maybe a few storms, will arrive then. For the spots that missed out on any decent rain, I think the odds are that a little more rain will fall, but with the primary surface low tracking well north once again, don't look for drought-denting rains. We will watch the severe potential too....a little more instability to work with, plus a more favorable time of day for storms.

It was indeed an active severe weather day yesterday across the MS and TN Valley. Here is the compilation of storm reports.

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Hold on to your hats!

Here is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. Lots of wind today, quiet this weekend, and the next system later Monday.

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Severe weather...

>> Thursday, February 24, 2011

Looks like severe weather is about to start exploding over parts of eastern Arkansas, northern Mississippi, and western Tennessee. In that general area, the CAPE has gotten up over 1500 J/kg and the helicity is over 400 m2/s2.

A tornado watch will be issued shortly. In those areas mentioned especially, a few violent tornadoes are possible.

Later this evening and tonight, the activity will congeal into a squall line and move eastward through the Deep South. Places such as Nashville, Huntsville, Birmingham, Atlanta, Montgomery, and Meridian could see some damaging winds along that line of storms as well as some brief tornadoes embedded within the line.

Here is a frame from the RPM model valid at 2:30am CST.

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