Calmer weather arriving....

It was a rough and tumble Thursday around the region with numerous showers and storms and a slew of severe thunderstorms warnings and wind damage reports. Not only did we have wind, but we had tons of lightning and lots of locally heavy rainfall.

Today, the actual cold front will slide through and bring a few showers and storms, but I expect the coverage of showers and storms to be significantly lower than what we had yesterday. The greater coverage of storms will be the farther south you go in the area. Highs today will be in the lower 90s for most.

Tomorrow, we will get into the drier air behind that front, and it will be noticeably less muggy. Highs will be in the lower 90s, and while the rain chance is not zero, most spots will stay dry.

Sunday looks much the same with lower 90s and lower humidity and only an isolated storm chance.

More heat next week....

Enjoy the little respite this weekend because the heat and humidity will crank again next week. Highs will surge back into the mid to upper 90s with lows in the mid 80s and very humid conditions.

Tropics...

Colin is a classified tropical storm again, and will likely move just west of Bermuda tomorrow. The system will not impact the US mainland.

See the Tropical Page of this site for more Colin information.

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Hot and humid with scattered storms...

Overnight, an intense area of storms raced through eastern NC, bringing some heavy rain and lightning in that part of the region.

Conditions should be fairly quiet this morning with temps shooting up pretty rapidly. Highs should top out in the mid to maybe upper 90s, and with very humid conditions continuing, heat index values will exceed 100 and maybe 105 at times in some spots.

As we get into this afternoon, scattered storms will likely fire, and the scattered showers and storms could continue at times into tonight. The overall atmospheric setup today is a little more favorable for some damaging winds, so I suspect some severe thunderstorms warnings will be required for some storms.

Tomorrow's forecast all depends on how quickly the next cold front scoots south through the area. For the time being, I will maintain pretty good chances for some showers and storms, but if the front were to move a little quicker than expected, the shower and storms chance would be much lower.

A fairly quiet weekend is ahead with highs in the lower 90s and slightly less humidity. The storm chance is low over the weekend as well.

Our old friend (or nemesis), the upper level ridge, will build back in next work week, meaning highs back into the mid to upper 90s and lows in the mid 70s.

Tropics...

The remnants of Colin continue to try and re-organize, and a recon plan will investigate the area later today if need be.

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Heat marching on...

Highs returned to the 90s in many spots yesterday around our region, and today should be a few ticks hotter in most spots. I am going for mid 90s for most of our highs, and it will remain very muggy as well.

An interesting precip forecast today. First of all, a little light rain is scraping through northern NC early today as we catch the tail end of a disturbance to our north. That will exit quickly today.

The rest of the day's shower and storm chances largely depends on the progress of a disturbance that began the day in Ohio. Some modeling keeps that disturbance well to our north, while others models bend it southeast and right through our area. As it stands now, it appears the second solution is more or less correct, and I will mention a pretty good chance of showers and storms today.

I expect scattered storms tomorrow afternoon with highs in the mid to even a few upper 90s.

Friday continues to look unsettled as a cold front drops in. I expect a good coverage of showers and storms with highs in the low to mid 90s.

That front will slowly sag south of the area for the weekend. I will mention the chance of a lingering storm or two Saturday, then mainly dry and fairly hot (low to mid 90s) conditions Sunday through Tuesday.

Tropics...

Colin died a rather quick death yesterday due to lots of shear and is currently a remnant low. We will monitor for any signs of re-organization.

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