Saturday morning...

>> Saturday, January 30, 2010

The event will slowly wind down, although some light precip could linger for a while. As is always the case with winter weather event, some folks are happy, and some are disappointed. As I normally do, I will review what was good and bad with the forecast (probably Monday morning) after all of the totals are tallied.

Roads will be very tricky today and tonight.....temps will really only hover all day, and then we plunge well down into the teens tonight.

Be careful, and enjoy your day!

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Quick 4pm hit....

>> Friday, January 29, 2010

Watching some healthy action on the radar in Mississippi and Alabama. That will move through here later tonight. Light snow has developed a little ahead of schedule, and some accumulation is occurring on some grassy surfaces. All in all, I still expect any accumulations in NC to be light until later this evening.

There is also a dry slot near the Mississippi River....we will have to watch how that impacts us carefully....those can ruin a good forecast at times....

I have taken a look at things, and I have decided to leave my accumulation map from this morning unchanged. I was tempted to pull the 5-10" area further south into Cleveland, Gaston, and Meck counties, but I will leave it alone. Just be aware the totals right along I-85 could wind up higher than the 3-6" and lean more toward the 5-10" in some spots.

In the northern Piedmont, the 7-12" from roughly I-40 northward still looks pretty good, although there is a good chance that area could wind up on the upper side of that range.

I appreciate all of your kind words greatly....they are humbling. Thanks for checking in. I will put up some hits on twitter from time to time.....but I will also be away from the computer at times.

Enjoy the weather, and be careful!

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Midday update....

System behaving pretty well to this point. Precip might be a touch ahead of schedule, but not much. Morning models have come in a bit wetter, but again, we are kind past model watching time at this juncture.

Wedge looks strong...most Piedmont dewpoints are in the teens and dropping. Winds a picking up out of the northwest.

Will not adjust my accumulation forecast as of now....if changes are made, it might be to expand the area of 5-10" southward a bit. Also, depending on moisture, much of the Triad could indeed verify more toward the upper end of the range outlined.

For my friends over in the coastal plains....hang tight. Your area remains a very tough call, but feel you will see some wintry precip in many cases.

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