Terrific Friday....soaking rain later this weekend...

We will finish out the work week in fantastic fashion with lots of sun and highs from the upper 50s to lower 60s.

The first in a parade of system to impact the region over the next couple of weeks is still on schedule for this weekend. I think we will squeeze in the daylight hours tomorrow dry before a soaking rain arrives tomorrow night into Sunday morning. Then look for some showers at times Sunday as the upper level energy ripples overhead.

Total rain amounts will likely be in the 1-2" category, so a nice soaking appears on the way.

Monday and Tuesday still look dry next week, but another system will roll our way and bring some rain chances by the end of the work week. The GFS has at times indicated some wintry potential with that system, but I have a feeling it is a little too far south with the features over the eastern US, and I am leaning toward an all-liquid scenario at the moment.

Very cold air will build back into Canada as the month unfolds, and I still expect we will see that plunge back into the eastern US by the end of the month or early February.

Enjoy your weekend!

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Nice weather today and tomorrow!

As we continue our mid-January thaw, highs will warm into the 50s today and tomorrow. Some spots might even clip 60 degrees tomorrow afternoon!

No real changes here on our upcoming system this weekend. It still looks moisture-packed, and I expect a healthy rain event Saturday night and Sunday. I still think a widespread 1-2" rain event is on tap with this, and I don't anticipate any wintry weather issues in the Piedmont.

The El Nino will really flex its muscle over the next couple of weeks in the form of an active southern branch of the jet stream. It looks like we will see a storm system roll through every few days, and the next system will likely roll through by later Wednesday or Thursday next week.

I still anticipate a switch back to a colder pattern for the eastern US sometime by the end of the month or early February, but I don't have a great feel yet for exactly when that might occur.

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Climbing out of the freezer....

We will see a nice warming trend around here over the next couple of days. Look for 40s for highs today with 50s tomorrow and Friday.

Still looks like a moisture-packed system will cruise through the region this weekend. I still think the period from Saturday night into Sunday is the most likely time for rain around North Carolina. Modeling continues to trend away from the potential for any freezing rain. There will be cold air damming taking place, but it does not look like the parent high over the Northeast will be strong enough to push surface temps below freezing.

I still expect the next couple of weeks to be much milder overall than how we have started the month, but I still anticipate a pattern change back to colder weather sometime by the end of the month or early February....

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