Great weather today!

Take a peek at the video above...I delve into some of the modeling for next week in there.

We will indeed enjoy some fantastic weather today with lots of sun and highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s here in the Piedmont. Enjoy!

A cold front will swing into the region later tonight. That front will spread clouds in later this evening, and a few showers are possible from after midnight tonight into early tomorrow morning. Some sun will then try to work back in tomorrow afternoon.

Chilly weather settles back in for Sunday with highs back into the 40s again.

Like I have been discussing, we will be in a very complex split flow pattern next week. The timing and nature of precip chances is always hard to nail down in these types of patterns. However, a lot of the modeling this morning has come back around to the ideas I have been discussing here.

It looks like we will have a good chance of some precip Tuesday into Tuesday night next week....maybe as early as Monday night in spots. There remains the potential that we could have a cold air damming scenario unfold, depending on the exact placement and orientation of an area of high pressure off to our north. It is still WAY to early for any confidence with this type of weather pattern, but I still think there is some potential for wintry precip in portions of the Piedmont sometime around Tuesday.

It might wind up being a cold rain, or it could be an icy scenario. Time will tell....

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Milder for a couple of days....

Above is the latest edition of the Carolina Weather video. In it, I take a detailed look at the European model's solution for next week.

Another cold morning out there with temps in the upper teens to lower 20s in many spots. IN locations that still have some snow on the ground, black ice remains a concern this morning. So use caution.

Highs today will rebound into the mid to upper 40s with a sunny sky. Some spots might even touch 50. Tomorrow will be even milder with highs well up into the 50s to around 60 in spots.

A cold front will drop through here early Saturday and bring with it a chance of a few showers. However, rain amounts look very light. Behind that front, we will settle back into chilly weather for Sunday and I believe much of next week.

At this juncture, I think the GFS remains lost regarding next week's weather pattern. We are heading into a split flow pattern, and that often means lots of challenges in the forecast. Next week looks no different.

A big upper air low in the Southwest US looks to occasionally spit out pieces of energy that eventually bring precip chances into the Carolinas. Understand, we will not have a handle on the specifics of these precip chances until we are very close to the time they will occur. That is just the nature of this pattern.

But, as it stands now, I expect one wave of precip to move through around Tuesday. Again, details are and will remain uncertain for a while, but I do still think we will have to monitor for the possibility of some wintry weather in the Piedmont...mainly from ice. Stay tuned on that one.

And, we do have a winner from our snow contest back in December. We actually had three people who were all very close to being correct. The three closest were:

'Brad D' had a forecast of January 22
'T' had a forecast of January 18
'Junior Weather Man,'aka Brian C, had a forecast of the night of January 18 into January 19.

So, looks like Brian is our winner!

Below is the snow tally map from our event earlier this week.

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Wednesday...

Back to a normal schedule today, so above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

We are undergoing a pattern change from one that features a big west coast ridge and east coast trough to a split flow pattern. We are entering a pattern where the computer models are notorious for struggling, even more so than normal.

The general idea is cold today and tonight with moderation kicking in for a couple of days tomorrow and Friday. Highs today will only be in the upper 30s in many spots, with lows tonight in the upper teens to lower 20s.

However, we will see mid to upper 40s to even some lower 50s tomorrow and then 50s everywhere Friday. In fact, some spots could hit 60 Friday afternoon.

Then, the forecast confidence crashes. Generally speaking, I expect a cold front to move through Friday night into Saturday. That front will then stall out somewhere over the Southeast and generally hang out there somewhere in the region into next week.

Occasionally, disturbances will ride along that front and bring precip chances, but timing those out will be very challenging. If that front stays to our south, we could have some run-ins with wintry precip. However, if that front lifts back to our north, the precip would be rain.

See the video for some more details....

Again, I want to give a big thank you to everyone for checking out my blog and video. And a big thank you to everyone who watches us on News 14 Carolina and for all who sent us in pictures and reports. Best I can tell, we received somewhere between 1000 and 1500 emails yesterday, and we appreciate each and every one of them. Thank you!

And, it looks like the Charlotte Airport officially recorded a trace of snowfall yesterday. So that means we have a winner in our little snow contest from back at the end of December! I will look back at all of the forecasts and see who that winner is today or tomorrow.

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