Saturday evening...

Quick update here...

Moisture with our system late tonight and tomorrow looks very anemic. I can't rule out a little bit if precip in the Charlotte or Triad zones, but it just does not looks like a big deal. A few areas of light rain or a few snowflakes are possible, but that should be about it.

Still watching the next little disturbance that will roll through Monday. 18z NAM actually prints out some QPF (0.185" at CLT) in the form of snow in the Piedmont. Likely not a big deal, but maybe hope is still alive for at least a few flakes in the air.

Also, like I have been mentioning for a while, more of a split flow pattern should develop by late week into the weekend. I am not overly excited about anything yet, but this time of year, it doesn't take a WAY below normal airmass to create some wintry weather. So we will see if anything develops....

Read more...

Frigid....snow chances?

Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video. I discuss a lot of stuff in there....give it a look.
No doubt, our arctic airmass has settled in. Low temps in the Piedmont this morning were in the lower teens in many spots, and many mountain spots went below 0....even down to -10 in some instances.

Today will be cold all day with highs only making it into the mid to upper 20s for much of the Piedmont.

It still looks like we will be a few ticks colder tonight that what we saw this morning. I expect many Piedmont locations to dip into the upper single digits. Please continue to take all of the cold weather precautions discussed earlier.

It will still be cold tomorrow with highs struggle to make it to near freezing...in fact, some spots will remain below freezing again tomorrow.

The forecast gets very complex Sunday through Tuesday. The GFS continues to advertise a chance of snow, mixed with rain at spots, Sunday. Meanwhile, the European model keeps us dry with the Sunday system and instead develops a good low pressure area Monday night and Tuesday with the next disturbance dropping down. So, you essentially have some models jumping on the first system as the one that will develop while other models (mainly the EUro) are jumping on the second one.

I have included a chance of light snow, mixed with rain in spots, Sunday in the Piedmont, and I have a chance of snow Monday night into Tuesday. What will probably happen is one of those precip chances will become the primary one while the other system fades away...too soon to tell which one yet though.

Still looks like a brief warm-up mid-week before more cold air arrives about a week from now.

Read more...

Here comes the cold....

Above is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.

The arctic outbreak, that we have been discussing for quite a while, is indeed moving in today. High temps will be in the mid 30s for most today, and those highs will occur by early afternoon. Temps will drop by late afternoon, and by tomorrow morning we will be in the low to mid teens here in the Piedmont.

Tomorrow, despite a sunny sky, high temps will only be in the mid to possibly upper 20s. Then, we will see even colder low temperatures Saturday morning. If the sky stays clear and the wind very light (at this point it appears that will happen), then many folks will likely dip into the single digits. Highs then on Saturday will likely not make it above freezing in many Piedmont locations.

Folks, this is serious cold. Check on anyone you know that might not have access to heat. Wrap up any exposed pipes, and leave you faucets dripping inside. And certainly don't leave any pets outside.

I have left in the chance of some light snow in Sunday's forecast, and it still looks like a few flakes are possible on Monday and/or Tuesday. At this point, this still does not look like anything significant, but it bears watching.

Temps will modify a bit later next work week, but I think we will see another push of colder air move in by the following weekend.

See the video above for lots of good info...

Read more...