More wintry weather?

>> Sunday, March 16, 2014

The short answer is yes, for some.

First of all, a rainy Sunday is on tap all around the region. In NC, rain will increase in intensity as we get through the afternoon. Then tonight, colder temps will build in from the north.

Overnight, we will see temps head below freezing in a decent portion of NC north of generally a Charlotte to Raleigh line (maybe a little north of there). The overnight precipitation will likely not be particularly heavy, but I do expect some areas of light freezing rain and freezing drizzle in this portion of NC. This could be enough to cause a glazing on at least some elevated surfaces by daybreak tomorrow.

Then for Monday, much of the day for areas roughly along and north of I-40 could feature intervals of sleet with a corridor of freezing rain remaining a possibility (depending on surface temps) just to the south of the sleet area.

Then we await a second potential wave of precipitation Monday night into Tuesday morning. The biggest question mark with that one is how much precipitation will actually occur. The latest NAM and RPM (short-range models) are both pretty aggressive with that wave of precipitation while some other models are lighter.

Whatever amount of precip can fall with that Monday night-Tuesday wave will likely be in the form of primarily freezing rain for areas north and west of I-85 and especially north of I-40 (Triad region). How big of a deal this is will depend on the amount of precipitation with that second wave, and that remains uncertain.

So as of this typing (mid-morning Sunday), the bottom line is that more wintry precip is on the way for portions of the region, and there could wind up being enough ice accumulation to cause some power outages, especially for the Triad area up to the VA border.

If the Monday night-Tuesday morning wave of precipitation trends weaker, this will wind up being less significant and vice versa.

4 comments:

John 10:25 AM  

Matthew can you ever remember a time when the Piedmont had three winter storms within a 14-20 day period? This would be our third. We had the snow/sleet on Monday 3/3, then the big one Thursday-Friday 3/6-3/7 and now possibly this one?

I certainly hope this will be our last.

John 10:25 AM  

Matthew can you ever remember a time when the Piedmont had three winter storms within a 14-20 day period? This would be our third. We had the snow/sleet on Monday 3/3, then the big one Thursday-Friday 3/6-3/7 and now possibly this one?

I certainly hope this will be our last.

Anonymous 11:10 AM  

Do you have any explanation for the weather set-up that has caused so many cold front to dip so far south this year?

Matthew East 5:19 AM  

John.....Yeah, it has happened before, but it's not an every year occurrence, that's for sure.

The orientation of the upper level pattern for much of this winter has been for ridging and warmer/ drier weather near the West Coast with cold temps in the Great Lakes, Midwest, Northeast, and down into our area. It's just the way the upper level features set up this Winter.

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