Cold air has arrived...

>> Friday, November 08, 2013

We are in the midst of our next blast of colder air. I am watching the goings-on for the middle of next week as well. A sharp trough will dive in and deliver the coldest air we have seen thus far this season by Wednesday and Thursday.

Some models (most notably the European) have wanted to dive enough energy around the base of the incoming trough to pop a big closed upper air low (and an associated surface low offshore) that gives some snow to parts of NC and especially the mid-Atlantic. The GFS and Canadian are much more progressive, only really indicating a cold frontal passage.

As I indicated yesterday, the likelihood of the European scenario working out are slim at best. It would take the perfect orientation of a ridge over the Rockies working with enough energy rounding the base of the incoming trough to form that storm system.

So, with this morning's forecast package, I will continue to indicate very little in the way of precipitation next week but plenty of cold air by mid-week.

See the video for more details:

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Colder air settles back in tonight...

>> Thursday, November 07, 2013

A cold front is sliding through the region today and will continue to bring brief shower chances. Colder and drier air takes over later tonight and especially tonight.

Lots of interesting model solutions are coming out for the middle of next week. I cover all of that in today's video. Give it a look....

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Much warmer today, but a cold front arrives tomorrow...

>> Wednesday, November 06, 2013

Highs today will warm into the upper 60s and lower 70s across the piedmont ahead of an incoming cold front under a partly cloudy sky. Not bad at all. Tonight's lows should only be in the 50s.

That cold front will slide through tomorrow, but as we have been discussing all week, the rain in our area with this frontal passage will be rather limited. Some showers will zip through, but rain amounts will likely only be a few hundredths of an inch at best.

Behind the front, chilly air will again take over with highs Friday and Saturday in the 50s despite full sunshine. Lows by Saturday morning will be below freezing for most of the piedmont.

Here's today's video with a lot more information:




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Cold start to the week...

>> Monday, November 04, 2013

It will be a chilly Monday across the region with well below average temps. Here's today's video:

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