A horrific outbreak....

>> Thursday, April 28, 2011


Just an awful, awful tornado outbreak Wednesday and Wednesday night. The death toll is staggeringly high, and those numbers will likely continue to climb today as search and rescue operations continue. My prayers remain with all of those effected....and that number is great.

No time for a video this morning due to on-air duties....but I will post a few videos from the tornado outbreak yesterday....





Tuscaloosa tornado caught on tape wreaking havoc






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Wow....

>> Wednesday, April 27, 2011

It was amazing to watch the line of storms rip through Mississippi and Alabama early this morning. An incredibly intense line of storms roared through that region, and just an amazing amount of wind (and some embedded tornado) damage occurred. Some of the images coming in from that area are incredible. Over 250,000 people are without power in Alabama alone...definitely not good news with another round of severe weather on the way.

But that was only round one....the second round, and the round that will pose a very significant tornado risk, will develop in MS and AL later today, and those potentially tornadic storms will try to lift into southeastern TN and northwestern GA by this evening.

A rare 'high' risk of severe weather remain in effect for that area, and in that 'high' risk area, some dangerous, long-track tornadoes are possible.
For the Carolinas, I expect scattered storms to fire off later today and extend into this evening. I do not have a lot of confidence in what the coverage of storms will be today, but any storms that do form could grow severe. A number of the severe weather parameters you look for will be in place this afternoon and evening, and while the biggest threat today will be off to our west, we will need to watch all storms closely.

Eventually, later tonight, a potent line of storms will move into the Carolinas and exit the I-85 corridor by mid-morning tomorrow. Damaging winds and some embedded tornadoes will be possible within that line.

Here is where I will state that once again, every home needs to have a NOAA weather radio. There could very well be warnings required overnight, and you need to have some way of getting awakened if warnings are necessary.

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Big severe weather event continuing today...

Here is today's edition of the video...it is all about the severe weather event continuing to unfold and press toward the Carolinas.

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Day 1 'high' risk...

>> Tuesday, April 26, 2011


The SPC has indeed pulled the trigger on an upgrade to a 'high' risk for parts of southern AR, northeast TX, and southeastern OK. The discussion and video in the posts below are still valid....

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Violent severe weather outbreak continues the next couple of days...

For the Carolinas, look for scattered showers and storms to fire today and wane this evening. A few storms could be severe with damaging winds and some hail. However, our severe weather threat today is nothing like the threat to our west.

After a significant severe weather outbreak yesterday, Arkansas and many surrounding areas are in for another violent round of severe weather later today and tonight. A broad 'moderate' risk of severe weather is out for that area, and it is possible that an upgrade to 'high' could occur in later outlooks today.
Then the threat shifts eastward tomorrow. Frankly speaking, the synoptic (large) scale setup is about as bad as it gets for the Tennessee Valley. All of the necessary parameters for severe weather are there in spades. However, with severe weather, small scale features are always the determining factor between a major and a minor event, and that won't be evident until tomorrow. However, all of the larger scale features you look for to favor a severe weather outbreak are there.

In short, northern MS, northern AL, TN, KY, northeast GA, and into the mountains of the Carolinas could have a major severe weather event tomorrow.

Below is the Significant Tornado Parameter valid tomorrow afternoon, which combines several different severe weather indices, and is normally a good way to diagnose tornado potential on the modeling. Keep in mind, this is only model output. These are very significant values for the Tennessee Valley.
The storms will wind up spreading east of the mountains by Wednesday night and early Thursday morning. Although the storms will likely be in a weakening phase, severe weather is quite possible in the Piedmont regions with this system.

We will of course watch all of this very carefully.

Be sure and scroll to the post below this one to see today's edition of the video....tons of stuff in there.

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Scattered storms today...

Once again this morning, tons to talk about in the video. Give it a look. Two more extremely active severe weather days across the southern US....I talk about that, and what it means for the Carolinas, in the video.

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Very active 3-day stretch of weather for parts of the country...

>> Monday, April 25, 2011

An extremely active 3-day period of weather is on tap for parts of the US, and that activity will impact the Southeast. Take a look at today's video....lots to talk about this morning.

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Happy Easter....

>> Sunday, April 24, 2011

I hope you and your family and friends have a safe, wonderful, and blessed Easter. God bless....

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