Snow possibilities ahead.....

>> Tuesday, February 23, 2010



We will have a quiet and relatively mild day today. After a foggy start, low clouds will be tough to erode today, but some peeks of sun are possible with highs in the mid to upper 50s....maybe lower 60s in a few spots.

Snow is falling in Texas today, and that system will arrive here tomorrow. I expect wet snow to spread in tomorrow morning and taper off later tomorrow afternoon. Some rain could be involved initially, but for the I-85 corridor and points north and west, the precip type looks like mainly wet snow.

I do think some accumulations of snow are possible. Temperatures will likely remain above freezing for the entirety of the event, so I expect the roads to be primarily wet. But anyone in the Triad and Charlotte regions, even over toward RDU, is fair game to pick up some slushy snow accumulations on the grassy areas and elevated surfaces. The heaviest snow accumulations will likely be in the 1-2" category.

Below is my preliminary accumulation map....I reserve the right to amend that tomorrow morning.

Thursday will be cold and windy, and overall, we will be back into a colder pattern beginning tomorrow. The next system will approach by Saturday morning. For the time being, it looks like that will mainly stay to our south, but it is very close.  And for quite a while, the models have been in remarkable agreement that a powerful system will imact the southeast early next week. Details are obviously still up in the air, but that one bears watching for more wintry potential.

13 comments:

Anonymous 6:49 AM  

"I reserve the right to amend that tomorrow morning." disclaimers now huh! LOL :)

Carrie 8:36 AM  

Thanks Matthew! We would love to get that 1st of March snow, happened last year as a birthday gift to our eldest, and happened the year she was born.

Looking forward to seeing the changes to your blog too!

Peace,
Carrie

Matthew East 9:40 AM  

Haha....yep!

Thanks, Carrie! Hopefully we can get some more before we settle into Spring!

Anonymous 10:02 AM  

Person County may get 2-4 inches over here the GFS accumulated snowcover from the 6z run showed 3-4 inches up over here i hope we do. And than i hope the big snow is next week and there may be more wintry weather after that as this should should not give up until mid-late March? Chris

Anonymous 12:02 PM  

Thanks Matt!! Good times. I just love this stuff. Keep the updates coming. Hoping we get another 2004 come Tuesday. All this stuff in between now and then is just the appetizer. Mmmm Nachos.

Brad

Anonymous 1:03 PM  

I enjoy your blog and wanted to comment that the new appearance is very nice. Thanks for all you do for the benefit of us North Carolinians. Between your blog and Jeff Crum's, we have possibly the best access to detailed weather forecasting that's available. We appreciate you!

Anonymous 2:19 PM  

looking great!!keep up the good work.

Anonymous 2:53 PM  

UGHH! Matt, the models are doing the normal cha cha cha. The 12Z runs shove the Saturday and Tuesday storms farther south! What is your take?

Anonymous 3:15 PM  

Don't worry about the weekend system IMO, focus on the next week/Tuesday/Wednesday system. That could 2004 esque if you believe the 12Z EURO. Looking forward to your video tomorrow Matt. This long range continuity in the models is very interesting. I'm a total geek. Somebody help me.

Brad

Jeremy 3:22 PM  

The 2004 storm? Someone remind me of that one. I think that was when we got 8" up here in Rockingham County, NC. hard to remember, and we've had 2 storms already this winter with at least that much! In fact everyone around here is begging for Spring, but I say bring on more snow. It will be 183 degrees with 100% humidity soon enough.

Anonymous 3:51 PM  

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL LIKELY ACROSS THE PIEDMONT COUNTIES OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING

Anonymous 4:34 PM  

A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued by the National Weather Service as more winter weather is headed to our region.

The advisory is in effect from 6 a.m. Wednesday to midnight Wednesday night for accumulating snowfall likely across the central part of the state.

According to the NWS, precipitation will begin as rain or maybe a mixture of rain and snow Wednesday morning and then switch to all snow.

NBC17 Chief Meteorologist Wes Hohenstein says snow is expected to accumulate up to two inches, mainly on grassy areas.

"While the snow accumulation will not be significant, the drop in temperatures will be fairly drastic," said Hohenstein. "Highs Wednesday and Thursday will not make it out of the 30s."

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties and limited visibilities.

Steve Abbott, with the NC Department of Transportation, tells NBC17 since the weather will begin with rain, his department can't salt brine the roadways. Abbott adds that his department will monitor the situation and adjust their plans as needed.

Anonymous 6:30 PM  

does anyone know what the 18z runs are showing for this weekend and next week?

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